GLP-1s redefined the second line of T2D therapy
The 2024 and 2025 ADA Standards of Care moved GLP-1 RAs and tirzepatide from “consider” to “prefer” for most T2D patients with established ASCVD, high CV risk, heart failure, CKD, or obesity — the majority of US adults with T2D. The reason isn’t just glycemic: it’s cardiovascular and renal outcomes.
The anchor trials
- SURPASS-2: tirzepatide 15 mg vs semaglutide 1 mg, 40 weeks. −2.46 vs −1.86 pp A1C, 12.4 kg vs 6.2 kg weight loss.
- SUSTAIN-6: semaglutide 0.5–1 mg in T2D with high CV risk. 26% MACE reduction.
- LEADER: liraglutide 1.8 mg in T2D + CVD. 13% MACE reduction, 22% CV death reduction.
- REWIND: dulaglutide 1.5 mg. 12% MACE reduction, including primary prevention.
- FLOW: semaglutide 1 mg in T2D + CKD. 24% composite kidney outcome reduction.
- SELECT: semaglutide 2.4 mg in non-diabetic CVD+overweight. 20% MACE reduction.
Expected A1C reduction by agent and dose
Baseline A1C 8.0–8.5% at 40–52 weeks:
- Tirzepatide 15 mg: −2.3 to −2.6 pp
- Tirzepatide 10 mg: −2.0 to −2.3 pp
- Tirzepatide 5 mg: −1.7 to −2.0 pp
- Semaglutide 1 mg (Ozempic): −1.5 to −1.8 pp
- Semaglutide 2 mg: −1.9 to −2.1 pp
- Oral semaglutide 14 mg (Rybelsus): −1.2 to −1.4 pp
- Dulaglutide 1.5 mg (Trulicity): −1.2 to −1.5 pp; 4.5 mg: −1.7 to −1.9
- Liraglutide 1.8 mg (Victoza): −1.0 to −1.3 pp
When to add, substitute, or combine
- Metformin remains first line unless eGFR <30 or intolerance.
- ASCVD/HF/CKD present: add GLP-1 (sema, tirz, dula) or SGLT2i regardless of A1C. Consider both.
- A1C >1.5% above target: prefer tirzepatide or high-dose semaglutide.
- Weight priority: prefer tirzepatide or semaglutide.
- Insulin co-management: reduce insulin 20–30% when adding GLP-1. Halve or stop SU.
Safety notes
- Hypoglycemia: low risk as monotherapy; real concern with SU or insulin.
- Pancreatitis: inconsistent signal. Discontinue if suspected, don’t rechallenge.
- Gallbladder: slightly increased cholelithiasis/cholecystitis during rapid weight loss.
- MTC/MEN2: boxed warning. Contraindicated with personal/family history.
- Diabetic retinopathy: SUSTAIN-6 showed small increase during rapid glycemic improvement in baseline DR. Periodic dilated fundus exams.